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    An important social trend is the continued concern for health and well


    JULY 17, 2021 BY QUIZS

    An important social trend is the continued concern for health and well-being in the United States. This is most likely

    An important social trend is the continued concern for health and well-being in the United States. This is most likely evidenced by which of the following?

    A) the increased sales of Cigar Aficionado magazine.

    B) the introduction of Lay’s Kettle Cooked potato chips, which have 40 percent less fat than regular potato chips.

    C) the opening of more Starbucks coffee boutiques in supermarkets.

    D) the upsizing of menu items at fast-food restaurants.

    E) the introduction of virtual reality headsets such as the Oculus Rift.

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    Source : www.giveanswers.net

    US Economic Forecast Q1 2022

    The Q1 2022 forecast examines the impact of the Ukraine crisis, persisting inflation, and the lingering effects of COVID-19 on the US economy.


    20 minute read 17 March 2022

    United States Economic Forecast

    United States Economic Forecast The Q1 2022 forecast examines the impact of the Ukraine crisis, persisting inflation, and the lingering effects of COVID-19 on the US economy

    Daniel Bachman

    United States Share by email

    The Russia-Ukraine war won’t derail the recovery

    The US economy’s performance in the past few months has been better than most people expected—or even realized. While Omicron took infection rates to a new high, little trace appeared in economic data. Inflation and related problems, such as tangled supply chains, may continue to challenge business leaders and policymakers, but the US economy is performing well by most measures:

    The unemployment rate is already back to the full employment level.

    The labor force participation rate has started to pick up, as some of the folks who left the labor force are coming back to work.

    Corporate profits are more than satisfactory. Profits in Q3 2021 were 21% above the prepandemic level. That’s much better than many businesses had reason to expect when the pandemic first hit in March 2020.

    Strong profits have supported business investment. The pandemic shifted investment away from buildings and toward equipment and information products.1 But the willingness to invest suggests that businesses are surprisingly optimistic about the future.

    The pandemic drove the adoption of technology and—as a consequence—appears to have accelerated labor productivity growth. Previous Deloitte forecasts assumed trend productivity was less than 1%. But productivity growth has remained surprisingly strong during the recovery from the pandemic, about 2% over the four quarters to December 2021. If productivity growth remains high, many of the long-term issues facing the US economy—such as financing social security—will likely become considerably easier to solve.

    But just as Omicron’s potential to impact the economy waned, geopolitical tensions increased. The Russian invasion of Ukraine is not likely to derail the US recovery, but it will push up inflation in the short run.

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    The US economy is likely to feel the impact of a continuing Ukraine crisis through two main channels.

    Most importantly, the price of oil is likely to remain higher than it would have otherwise—although how much higher is an open question. Russia produces about 12% of global crude oil supplies. Sanctions may remove some of this oil supply, as the United States (and possibly some European countries) reduce or end purchases of Russian oil.

    However, oil is a global, fungible commodity and Russia can still sell oil to non-boycotting nations. That would release other oil for shipment to boycotting countries without affecting the global price of oil. Of course, payments may be more difficult, and Russia may need to sell its oil at a discount. But the size of the supply shock may be more limited than that 12% figure suggests.

    Europe’s heavy dependence on Russian natural gas suggests that the EU’s economy will experience slower growth—or, in the extreme case, a recession. The EU is a major trading partner of the United States, accounting for more than 15% of US exports. On top of a direct decline in demand, dollar appreciation reflecting the relative safety of the United States will make US goods less competitive. Both would reduce the contribution of exports to US GDP growth.

    The combined impact is not large enough to generate a recession in the United States. But growth could slow down. And inflation would pick up, at least in the short term. Our baseline forecast assumes a US$15 per barrel rise in the price of oil, which leads to an extra half a percentage point rise in the consumer price index (CPI) in 2022 (with most of the rise occurring in the second quarter). That’s not huge, but during a period when the Fed is struggling to control inflation, it presents policymakers with a big problem.

    Before the invasion, we had penciled in five 25-basis-point Fed hikes in 2022, starting in March. Despite this bump in inflation, we don’t think the Fed’s interest rate trajectory is likely to change. Our reasoning: The Fed knows that the extra inflation is (to use that banished word) “transitory.” And the extra inflation will be associated with some additional unemployment, which would call for the Fed to ease. In our forecast, the reasons for easing offset the reasons for raising rates, leaving policy unchanged from the preinvasion path.

    We’ve also assumed a small impact on exports. First, growth in Europe is likely to take a hit of as much as half a percentage point, even if natural gas deliveries from Russia aren’t interrupted. Second, any geopolitical crisis pushes investors to buy safe assets, mainly US dollars. The dollar’s appreciation will make US exports less competitive.

    Source : www2.deloitte.com

    Care and support statutory guidance

    Department of Health & Social Care Statutory guidance

    Care and support statutory guidance

    Updated 27 January 2022

    © Crown copyright 2022

    This publication is licensed under the terms of the Open Government Licence v3.0 except where otherwise stated. To view this licence, visit nationalarchives.gov.uk/doc/open-government-licence/version/3 or write to the Information Policy Team, The National Archives, Kew, London TW9 4DU, or email: [email protected]

    Where we have identified any third party copyright information you will need to obtain permission from the copyright holders concerned.

    This publication is available at https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/care-act-statutory-guidance/care-and-support-statutory-guidance

    Using the Care Act guidance

    How to Search the guidance

    Click on Ctrl + F or Command + F on a Mac

    This will open a search box in the top right hand corner of the page. Type the word you are looking for in the search bar and press enter. The word will then be highlighted in yellow where every it appears in the guidance. Click on the enter key to move to the next word found.

    How to print a copy of the guidance

    Click on Ctrl + P or Command + P on a Mac

    You have an option to print the entire Care Act guidance (approximately 375 pages) or select a page range.

    General responsibilities and universal services

    This section includes chapters on:

    1. Promoting wellbeing 2. Preventing, reducing or delaying needs 3. Information and advice 4. Market shaping and commissioning of adult care and support 5. Managing provider failure and other service interruptions

    1. Promoting wellbeing

    This chapter provides guidance on section 1 of the Care Act 2014 and covers:

    definition of wellbeing

    promoting wellbeing

    wellbeing throughout the Care Act

    1.1 The core purpose of adult care and support is to help people to achieve the outcomes that matter to them in their life. Throughout this guidance document, the different chapters set out how a local authority should go about performing its care and support responsibilities. Underpinning all of these individual ‘care and support functions’ (that is, any process, activity or broader responsibility that the local authority performs) is the need to ensure that doing so focuses on the needs and goals of the person concerned.

    1.2 Local authorities must promote wellbeing when carrying out any of their care and support functions in respect of a person. This may sometimes be referred to as ‘the wellbeing principle’ because it is a guiding principle that puts wellbeing at the heart of care and support.

    1.3 The wellbeing principle applies in all cases where a local authority is carrying out a care and support function, or making a decision, in relation to a person. For this reason it is referred to throughout this guidance. It applies equally to adults with care and support needs and their carers [footnote 1].

    1.4 In some specific circumstances, it also applies to children, their carers and to young carers when they are subject to transition assessments (see chapter 16 on transition to adult care and support).

    Definition of wellbeing

    1.5 ‘Wellbeing’ is a broad concept, and it is described as relating to the following areas in particular:

    personal dignity (including treatment of the individual with respect)

    physical and mental health and emotional wellbeing

    protection from abuse and neglect

    control by the individual over day-to-day life (including over care and support provided and the way it is provided)

    participation in work, education, training or recreation

    social and economic wellbeing

    domestic, family and personal

    suitability of living accommodation

    the individual’s contribution to society

    1.6 The individual aspects of wellbeing or outcomes above are those which are set out in the Care Act, and are most relevant to people with care and support needs and carers. There is no hierarchy, and all should be considered of equal importance when considering ‘wellbeing’ in the round.

    Promoting wellbeing

    1.7 Promoting wellbeing involves actively seeking improvements in the aspects of wellbeing set out above when carrying out a care and support function in relation to an individual at any stage of the process from the provision of information and advice to reviewing a care and support plan. Wellbeing covers an intentionally broad range of the aspects of a person’s life and will encompass a wide variety of specific considerations depending on the individual.

    1.8 A local authority can promote a person’s wellbeing in many ways. How this happens will depend on the circumstances, including the person’s needs, goals and wishes, and how these impact on their wellbeing. There is no set approach – a local authority should consider each case on its own merits, consider what the person wants to achieve, and how the action which the local authority is taking may affect the wellbeing of the individual.

    1.9 The Act therefore signifies a shift from existing duties on local authorities to provide particular services, to the concept of ‘meeting needs’ (set out in sections 8 and 18 to 20 of the Act). This is the core legal entitlement for adults to care and support, establishing one clear and consistent set of duties and power for all people who need care and support.

    Source : www.gov.uk

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